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KFL – December 2021 monthly update

Investor Presentation13 December 2021KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

In November, Kingfish’s gross performance return was

down (3.2%) and the adjusted NAV return was also down

(3.2%). This compares with the local market benchmark

index return, the S&P/NZX50G, which was down (2.9%).

Market Update

New Zealand equities, as measured by S&P/NZX 50

index, underperformed major global equity markets (MSCI

World -2.2%, S&P 500 -1.0%, S&P/ASX 200 -0.5%). The

weakness reflected a combination of concerns. Higher

interest rates mean investors are placing a lower valuation

on defensive companies such as Contact Energy and

Meridian. Summerset and Ryman have seen their share

prices fall as their businesses are exposed to the slowing

New Zealand housing market. A COVID resurgence

globally is a threat for reopening beneficiaries such as

Vista. The Kingfish portfolio slightly underperformed the

benchmark index, during a busy month that saw many

portfolio companies report their first half results for the

2022 fiscal year.

The Portfolio

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (+7%) reported a strong first

half result, ahead of expectations, boosted by another

wave of COVID hospitalisations in the US, Asia, and

certain countries in Europe. The bulk of the strength was

in sales of new hardware in the Hospital division, which

continues to grow the installed base of F&PH products

in both established and new customers (circa 70% of

hardware sales were outside of the core markets of US/

Europe). There are signs that the step-change due to

COVID will endure and consumables sales will grow off

a higher base as the COVID overlay wanes. In Europe,

where overall hospitalisations were down sharply,

hardware and consumables sales were still well above pre-

COVID levels. Also, around 70% of European hardware

sales were to customers who had already bought devices

the previous year, which suggests a meaningful component

of this is increased frequency of usage and usage outside

the ICU rather than purely COVID. European consumables

sales are well up on pre-COVID levels despite a weaker

COVID wave, which is a good sign for the utilisation of

the higher installed base. We think that there is increasing

weight of evidence to suggest that NHF

2

usage will

structurally increase even as the COVID overlay wanes.

Infratil (-4%) reported its first half result. A key highlight

was the announcement that data centre business CDC has

purchased a new site in Melbourne. They expect to begin

construction in the first half of 2022, contingent on signing

an anchor tenant. The new site will eventually provide 150

megawatts of capacity and takes CDC's total planned

capacity to 700 megawatts. This follows CDC's expansion

into Sydney in 2018 and Auckland earlier in 2021, with

Microsoft as anchor tenant in those locations. Infratil

updated full year 2022 earnings guidance, reducing the

range by -4% at the top end to reflect lockdown impacts on

Wellington Airport, Infratil’s diagnostic imaging businesses

and transaction costs from new acquisitions.

Mainfreight (+1%) reported a strong first half result, ahead

of expectations, with +41% growth in revenue (to $2.3

billion) and +78% growth in profit before tax (to $182m).

Demand continues to be strong since the 30 September

balance date and is expected to continue through

Christmas and into 2022. There was synchronised record

performance and growth in every product and geography,

out of its eight regions and services, the lowest revenue

growth rate was +24% and lowest profit before tax growth

rate was +28% (the highest were +157% and +310%).

There was a volume uplift of +30% in Air & Ocean freight,

so the company is moving significantly more freight, not

just achieving higher rates and margins. The volume in

Transport increased +15%, in spite of Australian and

New Zealand lockdowns during the period. Mainfreight

is capturing market share as a result of superior delivery

execution.

Pushpay (-28%) reported a weak first half result, with

revenues and profits below expectations. This was primarily

due to lower than expected payment processing volumes

in the first quarter of the year. The company attributed this

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

2

Nasal High Flow (NHF) is a non-invasive respiratory support product.

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2021

KFL NAV

$

1.79

$

1. 9 9

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

12.9

%

as at 30 November 2021

Warrant Price

$

0 .11

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

10 – 25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day

Bank Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.69

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

316m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$629m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2021

5

%

29

%

INDUSTRIALS

21

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

35

%

HEALTH CARE

7

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash


UTILITIES

to lower church attendance during summer in the US as

COVID restrictions eased and people took the opportunity

to take overdue holidays. Digital adoption in church giving

has plateaued after the large increases during COVID,

while new customer signups have also been subdued. The

company also called out wage pressure in the IT sector

which is inflating its costs. Overall the company reduced its

full year guidance for underlying operating profit by -6%.

Ryman Healthcare (-15%) reported its first half result,

however the most notable development was the retirement

of David Kerr as Chair after 27 years. This was a

disappointing development given that the new CEO

Richard Umbers only started in late October and new

Chair Greg Campbell joined the board in March (this

year). Ryman also reported a lockdown-impacted result,

with weaker new sales. The company also tempered

medium-term build rate expectations, indicating it will take

longer to achieve their medium-term goal of adding 1,600

units and care beds annually. Ryman announced a change

in dividend policy to 30-50% of underlying profit (from

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

50%), which will accelerate the return to normal gearing

levels by a number of years. On the positive side, resales

were at strong levels (+9.6% on the previous half), resales

margins were resilient (at 24%), and there will be a further

+5% increase in unit prices (cumulatively +15% in 2021)

which will benefit earnings and cashflows for years to

come.

Vista (-11%) saw its share price come under pressure

during the month as an increase in COVID lockdowns in

Europe and the emergence of the Omicron variant impacts

the near-term outlook for its exhibitor customers.

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2021

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

$

7.00

$

8.00

$

9.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2020

Mar

2021

Mar

2005

NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 9 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2021

PUSHPAY

−28

%

RYMAN HEALTHCARE

−15

%

SUMMERSET GROUP

−12

%

VISTA GROUP

−11

%

A2 MILK

−7

%

MAINFREIGHT

20

%

INFRATIL

16

%

AUCKLAND

INTERNATIONAL

AIRPORT

15

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

9

%

SUMMERSET

9

%

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.2%)(0.4%)+9.4%+26.2%+19.0%

Adjusted NAV Return(3.2%)(2.8%)+5.7%+19.5%+16.2%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return(3.2%)(2.5%)+7.4%+22.7%+19.1%

S&P/NZX50G Index(2.9%)(3.8%)(0.4%)+13.0%+13.0%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2021

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial

adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results June have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment

company listed on the New

Zealand Stock Exchange. The

company gives shareholders

an opportunity to invest in a

diversified portfolio of between

10 and 25 quality growing New

Zealand companies through a

single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Kingfish

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth

and dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains and/or return

of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on 1

October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to New

Zealand tax resident shareholders have not been subject

to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing it

(if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board to

invest according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Kingfish’s portfolio

is managed by Fisher Funds

Management Limited. Sam Dickie

(Senior Portfolio Manager), Matt

Peek and Michael Bacon (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing the

Kingfish portfolio. Together they

have around 50 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies

that Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan

(Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and David

McClatchy.

Warrants

»Kingfish announced a new issue of warrants on 18

October 2021.

»Information pertaining to the warrants was mailed/

emailed to shareholders on 1 November 2021.

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Kingfish shares held based on the record date of 12

November 2021.

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 15

November 2021 and listed on the NZX Main Board from

16 November 2021.

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $2.03, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the Shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment of

the warrants and ending on the last Business Day before

the final Exercise Price is announced by Kingfish.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants is 18 November

2022.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.