Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update27 January 2022MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 December 2021

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

LAKE TAUPO HYDRO STORAGE LIFTED,

DESPITE DRIER CONDITIONS, TO 75GWh

ABOVE AVERAGE AT END OF Q2

AVERAGE OTAHUHU SPOT PRICE AT

$77/MWh, DOWN VERSUS PCP DUE TO

HIGH NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE

FY2022 HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST

DECREASED TO 3,750GWh DUE TO

LOW LAKE TAUPO INFLOWS

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

HYDRO

STORAGE

MANAGED

Q2 SPOT

PRICES

<$100/MWh

3,750GWh

>> COMMENTARY

HYDRO GENERATION UNCHANGED DUETO LOW INFLOWS AND HYDRO STORAGE MANAGEMENT;TURITEA NORTH OPERATING

Mercury's hydro generation wasunchanged versus the prior comparable period at 929GWh, 90GWh below average

1

, due to 29

th

percentile

2

inflows into Lake Taupo. Lower hydro generation also saw hydro storage in Lake Taupo increase across the quarter from 403GWhto

513GWh at the end of the quarter, 75GWh above average

1

, leaving Mercury well-positioned in advance of the seasonally dry Q3. Mercury's

FY2022 hydro generation forecast has been decreased by 150GWh to 3,750GWh.

This quarter also saw the first significant generation volumesof 92GWh

3

from Turitea with all 33 turbines in the Northern section now

operating. Mercury's PPA-linked wind farms, acquired from Tilt, generated 262GWh during the quarter.

SPOT PRICES DECREASEON HIGH HYDRO STORAGE, FUTURES FLAT BUT LIFT FOLLOWING THE QUARTER

High national hydro storage (which ended the quarter at 122% of average

1

) saw average spot prices decrease during the quarter from

$117/MWh and $103/MWh at Otahuhu and Benmore in FY2021-Q2 to $77/MWh and $60/MWh respectively in FY2022-Q2. The

proportion of total generation from renewable sources in the quarter was 91%, increasing from 85% in the pcp and displacing thermal

generation. This was reflected in short-term futures prices with the FY2022 Otahuhu price decreasing from $133/MWh to $125/MWh and

Benmore decreasing from $110/MWh to $103/MWh.

Following the quarter, record low inflows

4

have seen national hydro storage trend quickly down to near average levels, resulting in futures

prices for the second half of FY2022 increasing at Otahuhu and Benmore from $137/MWh and $115/MWh respectively at the end of

FY2022-Q2 to $215/MWh and $188/MWh (as at 26 Jan 2022). Thermal fuel cost and availability pressures also persist with NZU prices

reaching record levels of $75/unit in January 2022.

MASS MARKET STEADY; COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL YIELDS LIFT ON RE-PRICING AND NORSKE SKOG SETTLEMENT

Mass Market customernumbers decreased by 1,000 over the quarter from 328,000 to 327,000 as Mercury continues to pursue initiatives

to maintain market share.The Mass Market yield increased by 2.9% from $139/MWh in FY2021-Q2 to $143/MWh in FY2022-Q2.

The Commercial & Industrial segment yield (including both physical and financial sales) increased by 8.4%, from $86/MWh in FY2021-Q2

to $94/MWh in the most recent quarter, due to recent re-contracting and the early exit of the foundation hedge with Norske Skog Tasman.

DEMAND RESILIENT DESPITE COVID-19 LOCKDOWN, DECREASED DUE TO REDUCED IRRIGATION AND INDUSTRIALLOAD

Demand in FY2022-Q2 remained resilient despite the COVID-19 lockdown during the period, decreasing by 1.2% on a temperature

adjusted basis (-1.7% on an unadjusted basis). This was mainly driven by reduced irrigation load (contributing -1.1%) with industrial sector

demand also decreasing due to the closure of Norske Skog's Tasman mill and reductions at the Pan Pac mill and Glenbrook steelmill. The

contributions from each sector were: irrigation (-1.1%), industrial (-0.7%), rural (-0.1%), urban (+0.7%) dairy (+0.1%).

1

For quarters ended 31 December since 1999

2

For quarters ended 31 December since 1927

3

Due to accounting changes, pre-commissioning generation volumes from Turitea wind farm are now recognised in EBITDAF

4

For periods starting 1 January and ending 26 January (inclusive) since 1927

327336
290297

3739

4745

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,1171,0392,4192,296

2

5846061,3731,438

3

5334331,046858

5249114109

4

1,1691,0882,5332,406

5

8059351,5791,778

270377562753

6

5355581,0171,025

313161105

1,9501,5893,7453,320

9299301,8831,974

7

6676591,2751,346

8

92105

9

262482

267402719835

Buy CfDs

6

267402719835

Spot Settlement of CfDs

10

-19-32-130-29

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions

6

7

8

Includes generation from Turitea wind farm. Due to accounting changes, pre-commissioning generation volumes are now recognised in EBITDAF

9

Includes generation from Tararua, Mahinerangi and Waipipi wind farms

10

Net Position is Physical and Financial Generation (excluding Wind PPA volumes) less Physical Purchases and Financial Sales

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

NET POSITION

Financial87.0184.14

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

57.74 Wind PPA

68.72106.82

54.77 Wind

83.57119.92

87.01

108.33

84.14

65.73

71.54

91.87

73.48

90.48

114.4973.67

Hydro

Spot Customer Purchases

85.94 Other Sell CfDs

69.73110.72

86.70

92.57

120.19

86.25

110.79

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 December 2021

Three months ended

31 December 2020

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2021 and 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2020 and of

302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2021 and 302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2020

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

86.16

139.36

95.25

Physical

120.39117.21

Mass Market

143.34

($/MWh)($/MWh)

127.09121.87

Six months ended

31 December 2021

Six months ended

31 December 2020

114.53132.02

94.3886.85

90.8187.08

141.61138.14

108.0194.60

102.03126.39

120.84132.73

96.3586.68

107.91120.20

108.65135.43

117.4792.44

117.4792.44

114.63118.45

93.24117.09

57.45

61.51

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

19%

38%

21%

13%

3%

6%

Financial Year Q2 2022

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

17%

36%

19%

17%

4%

7%

Financial Year Q2 2021

13%

87%

Financial Year Q2 2022

MERCURY

OTHER

11%

89%

Financial Year Q2 2021

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2021 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2022 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2021FY2022

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$119.06

$103.11

$96.88

$170.44

$144.05

$129.70

$133.34

$141.63

$125.93

$125.05

$143.93

$128.46

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020AS AT 30 JUNE 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021

$100.69

$82.16

$73.50

$151.34

$124.13

$111.71

$109.88

$118.04

$104.54

$103.41

$121.24

$105.13

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020AS AT 30 JUNE 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202212.217.8--

202112.316.919.514.8

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,257

8,541

8,270

8,481

8,506

8,327

1,264

1,263

1,316

1,310

1,248

1,262

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q2 2017Q2 2018Q2 2019Q2 2020Q2 2021Q2 2022

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20Jan-21

Jul-21

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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