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UBS Geothermal Commissioning Update

Investor Presentation9 November 2023CENUtilities

1
Geothermal Commissioning Update

UBS Australasia Conference

November 2023

22
Disclaimer and important information

While all reasonable care has been taken in compiling this presentation,

neither Contact nor any of its directors, employees, shareholders nor any

other person gives any representation as to the accuracy or completeness

of this information or accepts any liability for any errors or omissions.

This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with

respect of a variety of matters. All such forward-looking statements involve

known and unknown risks, significant uncertainties, assumptions,

contingencies, and other factors, many of which are outside the control of

Contact, which may cause the actual results or performance of Contact to

be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or

implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking

statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Except as

required by law or regulation (including the NZX Listing Rules and the ASX

Listing Rules), Contact undertakes no obligation to update these forward-

looking statements for events or circumstances that occur subsequent to

the date of this presentation or to update or keep current any of the

information contained herein. Any estimates or projections as to events that

may occur in the future (including projections of revenue, expense, net

income and performance) are based upon the best judgement of Contact

from the information available as of the date of this presentation.

EBITDAF, free cash flow and operating free cash flow are financial measures that are “non-GAAP (generally

accepted accounting practice) financial information” under Guidance Note 2017: ‘Disclosing non-GAAP

financial information’ published by the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority, “non-IFRS financial

information” under ASIC Regulatory Guide 230: ‘Disclosing non-IFRS financial information’ and “non-GAAP

financial measures” within the meaning of Regulation G under the U.S. Exchange Act of 1934.

Such financial information and financial measures (including EBITDAF, free cash flow and operating free cash

flow) do not have standardised meanings prescribed under New Zealand equivalents to International Financial

Reporting Standards (“NZ IFRS”), Australian Accounting Standards (“AAS”) or International Financial

Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and therefore, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by

other entities, and should not be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in

accordance with NZ IFRS, AAS or IFRS accounting practice) measures. Information regarding the usefulness,

calculation and reconciliation of these measures is provided in the supporting material.

This presentation does not constitute financial or investment advice. This presentation does not constitute an

offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, Contact securities and may not be relied on in connection with

any purchase of a Contact security.

Numbers in the presentation have not all been rounded and might not appear to add.

All references to $ are New Zealand dollar unless stated otherwise.

Alltrademarks, service marks andcompany namesare thepropertyoftheir respective owners. All company,

product and service names used in this presentation are for identification purposes only. Use of these names,

trademarks and brands does not imply endorsement or that they are or will be customers of Contact and

reflects public announcements of intention only.

3
Geothermal commissioning update

»Tauhara is a world-class geothermal development to build a multi-generational 174MW renewable baseload powerplant.

»Hot commissioning of the steam-field commenced in July 2023.

»Commissioning issues have emerged including underperforming steam-field valves and liquid handling systems and a steam

hammer event.

»Some elements of the steam separation plant will require further design and modification.

»Tauhara is now expected online in Q3 2024 at least at the initial design capacity of around 152MW.

»The first planned outage (expected within a year from online date) will be an opportunity to undertake any further modification and

debottlenecking that may be required to reach and maintain the full planned capacity of 174MW.

»A number of strategies are being applied to mitigate the deferral of this expected geothermal generation, in line with Contact’s

commodity risk framework.

»There is no change to Contact’s FY24 normalised and expected EBITDAF guidance of $600m.

»Plant modifications will result in a cost increase of up to $40m, with the project still achieving an LRMC of around $75 per MWh.

1

»This pack contains further context on the stages of commissioning of geothermal projects and the related risks and mitigations.

Includes revisions to expected timing and capacity for Tauhara online

1

Assumptions include a capital cost of $920m, broker consensus WACC of 7.5%; inflation of 2%; corporate tax rate of 28%; 35-year plant life; $15/MWh operating costs; ~$8m p.a. capex (with major mid-life capex smoothed)

as at FID in February 2021.

4
Geothermal plants under construction

Project progress

Te Huka 3

Contact currently has $1.2bn of geothermal projects under construction

1

Tauhara

October ‘23

98%

construction

October ‘23

66%

construction

Planned

Forecast

Actual

Commercial operation

%

%

1

Or $1.3bn of committed geothermal investment when including the $114m of pre-FID development costs for GeoFuture.

2

Includes sunk costs. Excludes capitalised interest.

Spend to date (to 31 Oct)

2

Total expected project cost

2

Project update

$920m

$775m

Spend to date (to 31 Oct)

2

Total expected project cost

2

Project update

$300m

$191m

All major equipment from Israel has either

arrived or is in transit, mitigating risks of

supply disruption from conflict in the Middle

East. Generator on track to be shipped

from Europe by end 2023.

Commissioning stalled for remediation of

steam-field issues. Plant expected online in

Q3 2024 at least at the initial design capacity

of 152MW,withfull planned capacity of

174MWexpected at thefirstplannedoutage.

Planned

Forecast

Actual

Commercial operation

5
Recap on key project delivery roles

Geothermal developments are complex – Contact directly manages those project elements where it has

deep expertise and works through expert partners as appropriate to manage risks

EngineeringProcurementConstructionManagement

Wells &

Resource

Tauhara

TeHuka3

Steam-field

Tauhara

TeHuka3

Powerstation

Tauhara

TeHuka3

Transmission

Tauhara

TeHuka3

Various domestic

specialist contractors

& others

Various domestic

specialist contractors

& others

6
Geothermal commissioning

While commissioning challenges are common, especially with steam turbines, there are a range of

mitigations available

Challenges facedMitigation

Cold commissioning – Lube oil flushingVarious mitigations including:

•Remediation by owner

•Remediation by OEM / EPC

•Delay liquidated damages (LDs)

•Insurance

Hot well pump

Condenser performance

Pedestal deflections in early operation

Challenge (to date)Mitigation (likely)

Steam field valve performanceValve remediation and replacement

Steam hammer eventPipework modification & recompletion

Bottlenecks in liquid handling systemsDebottlenecking

Te Mihi (2014)

»Commissioning issues

identified and mitigated

»Commercial online date (COD)

deferred ~7 months

»Full output achieved at first

outage (+13 months from

original COD)

Tauhara (today)

»Commissioning underway

»Expected online in Q3

2024 at least at the initial

design capacity of 152MW

»Full target output expected

at first planned outage

7
1 - 2 months

Typical commissioning stages and sequencing

The commissioning process is designed to test all functions of the geothermal well operations, steam field

and power station under a range of conditions, including extreme emergency simulations

StageWell testing

Steam-field

(cold)

High Voltage

livening

Power Station

(cold)

Steam-field

(hot)

Power Station

(hot)

Reliability run

Key elements

tested

Completed via

flowing output

test to

understand flow

and energy.

Check piping

systems, control

system

functions; check

valve and safety

system

operation

(without steam).

System

configuration,

protection

schemes, key

equipment

performance.

Back-feed

Power Station.

Control system

functions; valve

and safety

system

operation, lube

oil and control oil

system tests

(without steam).

Operating tests

of plant; ensure

integrity of plant

and safety

systems at

maximum design

conditions.

Steam blow of

piping system,

operating tests

of plant; integrity

of safety system;

plant

performance

tests.

Reliability test of

all combined

systems and

plant output.

Duration2 - 3 months2 - 3 months1 month1 month1 month1 - 2 months1 month

Wells

Steam-field

High Voltage

Power Station

Reliability run

Testing

Cold

HV livening

Hot

Final Tests

Sequencing of commissioning stages:

Tauhara key: Complete Future activity Sequencing dependency

Back-

feed

Hot

Cold

Note: Arrows are not to scale

8
Early plant life: Typical features

The early years after on-line date are characterised by a number of

common features across geothermal plants

Ramp up to

target output

Initial major

outages

Role of

insurance

Up front risk

mitigation

»Plant can often be commissioned below long-

term output target.

»Debottlenecking typically undertaken over first

1 – 2 years.

»Scale to target output (first major outage).

»Necessary after 12 months of operation, and

then plan to extend to 2 and then 4 year cycles

(i.e. year 1, 3, 7, 11 etc).

»Regulatory requirement of pressurised steam

systems such as a geothermal plant.

»Timeframes can vary dependent on scope of

activities.

»Coverage held for contract works and

delayed start up rolls over into operational

programme after online date.

»PPAs linked to plant output and the plant

being in service.

9
Contact expects to deliver near term uplift in

renewable generation and EBITDAF

Further substitution of baseload gas generation for low cost geothermal to drive EBITDAF margin uplift

6.8

7.5

7.1

6.8

7.2

7.1

7.27.27.27.2

1.91.9

0.6

1.8

FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24

0.3

FY25FY26FY27

7.2

9.3

9.6

10.9

Under development (by EOY)

1

Under construction (by EOY)

2

Total existing

Renewable generation –Annual output (TWh)

(Exit run-rate illustration)

10.3TWh p.a.

FY27 target

(online EOY)

Mean renewables 7.2TWh p.a.

(varied by hydrology conditions)

Assumes

mean hydro

conditions

FY24-FY27

Additional annual

output shown on

EOY-online (exit

run-rate) basis

1

Includes two grid scale solar projects (0.3TWh p.a. each) and the Southland wind project (0.9-1.2TWh p.a.). Each is progressing through consenting and development processes and remains subject to final investment decision.

Also includes the consented GeoFuture project, for the replacement of Wairakei A&B geothermal station (net 0.4TWh p.a. uplift in output based on ~170MW replacement plant), subject to final investment decision.

2

Includes geothermal plants under construction at Tauhara (1.4TWh p.a.) and Te Huka (0.4TWh p.a.) and uplift from the planned refurbishment of hydro turbines at Roxburgh (0.05 TWh p.a.).

3

Refer to slide 43 of FY23 results presentation for reconciliation of EBITDAF.

4

Underlying EBITDAF excludes non-cash accounting item: onerous contract provision expense of $113m.

480

520

550

600

553

546

FY21FY22

573

4

FY23FY24

Actual result delivered

Guidance (normalised and expected at beginning of the year)

EBITDAF Guidance vs Actual ($m)

3

Strong track record of delivering

performance above guidance

Hydrology swing of +/-$50m EBITDAF remains

FY25

FY27+

Mean guidance to be updated

for:

•Tauhara and TeHuka3

online FY25

•Wind/solar FY26/27+

subject to consenting and

FID

1.7

to

1.9

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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