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Infratil’s CDC valuation rises by A$133 million

Property2 January 2024IFTUtilities

Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com
3 January 2023


Infratil’s CDC valuation rises by A$133 million

The 31 December 2023 independent valuation of Infratil’s investment in CDC shows an increase of

A$133 million over the three months since the 30 September 2023 valuation.

Infratil’s 48.24% investment in CDC is now valued at between A$3,736 million to A$4,335 million (with

a midpoint of A$4,017 million), up from A$3,641 million to A$4,186 million (with a midpoint of A$3,884

million) at the end of September 2023.

The uplift in value reflects the strong progress CDC has made securing new customer contracts, in

line with expectations in September 2023, but is largely offset by changes in macroeconomic inputs to

the valuation. As at 31 December 2023, CDC’s forecast pipeline to 2029 has grown modestly relative

to that assumed in the 30 September 2023 independent valuation. Total operating capacity remains

unchanged, while under construction and future build capacity is up 170MW to 1,220MW, reflecting

CDC’s latest view of its development pipeline and customer demand signals.

Region

Status

Build Capacity (MW)

to 2028, as at

September 2023

Build Capacity (MW)

to 2029, as at

December 2023

Canberra

Operating 117 117

Sydney

Operating 123 123

Auckland

Operating

28 28

Total Operating Capacity 268

268


Canberra Under Construction 56 39

Sydney

Under Construction 147 158

Melbourne

Under Construction 32 155

Auckland

Under Construction 30 30

Total Under Construction Capacity 265

382


Canberra Future Build 55 105

Sydney Future Build

151 269

Melbourne Future Build 208 93

Australian Expansion Future Build 22 22

Auckland Future Build 81 81

Total Future Build Capacity 517

570


Total Capacity 1,050

1,220



The blended cost of equity used in the valuation has increased from 11.20% to 11.25% between

September and December 2023. This reflects an increase in the risk-free rate (3.75% to 3.95%) and

an increase in gearing as a result of higher forecast debt levels as CDC continues investment in its

expanded development pipeline. These effects are offset to a large degree by a decrease in asset-

specific risk premium, driven by the advanced stage of new customer contracts and the valuer’s

assessment of the relative decrease in the overall risk of CDC delivering on its forecast growth.

CDC has also recently increased its debt facilities by A$1.4 billion to assist with funding this growth.

Terms of the deal are in line with current facilities and extend the weighted average tenor of its debt.

The valuation reflects the benefits of this raising, however this is offset by the increase in the market-

based base rate curve that underpins assumed debt costs in the independent valuation.



2

Net debt as at 31 December was A$2,450 million.

CDC’s FY2024 full-year EBITDAF guidance of A$260 million to $270 million remains unchanged.


Any investor enquiries should be directed to:

Mark Flesher

Investor Relations

mark.flesher@infratil.com

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.