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MLN – March 2024 monthly update

Investor Presentation10 March 2024MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for February was up 8.0%,

while the adjusted NAV return was up 7.6%. This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was up 4.6%.

February was a solid month for equity markets, with resilient

economic data and strong earnings reports both driving the

market higher. Emerging market equities performed well, up 5%,

thanks primarily to a Chinese rebound.

The results reporting season in the US has been strong. With over

90% of S&P 500 firms having reported, nearly three quarters have

beaten expectations. Economic data also proved resilient, with

the US PMI suggesting activity continued to expand over February

and the US economy added 353k jobs in January.

Portfolio

Meta (+26%) reported strong results at the beginning of February,

with better-than-expected revenue and profit for the quarter. And

Meta guided to higher-than-expected next quarter revenue growth

of 25% (vs. circa 20% expected). Meta’s short-form video format

Reels that had been a headwind to revenue growth has now

turned into a tailwind as the product is now accepted as a core

part of advertiser’s budgets. Meta’s investment in AI capabilities

has helped the company deliver more efficient advertising. 2023

was Meta’s “year of efficiency”, and it has executed very well with

operating income margins expanded from 25% in 2022 to 35% in

2023. Importantly, the company signalled that the focus on cost

discipline and running leaner teams would continue into 2024 and

beyond. Meta initiated its first dividend which sent a positive signal

to investors that while Meta continues to invest for growth (i.e. the

metaverse) it will be a measured approach.

Icon (+23%), the leading clinical research organisation (“CRO”),

was among our best performers, after a positive earnings result

and management commentary on end-market demand gave the

market confidence around medium-term growth prospects. The

positive tone from management was a turnaround from a more

cautious view in early January, which saw CRO stocks tumble

nearly 10%. Icon’s new project pipeline continues to grow, driven

by strong underlying R&D spend in its large pharmaceutical

customer base; a slow but steady recovery in biotech demand;

and new business wins driving market share gains.

Floor & Décor (+20%) finished 2023 with a firm last quarter, with

a better-than-expected result. Floor & Décor is operating through

the toughest housing environment with existing home sales at

GFC lows, and the company has posted four consecutive quarters

of negative same store sales. Regardless of this, the company

continues to take strong market share thanks to its superior value

proposition for customers.

Amazon (+14%) also had a better-than-expected quarterly

earnings report. The highlight from the earnings report was

operating income which came in 26% higher than expected

($13.2b vs. $10.5b expected) and guided to operating income

above expectations. Amazon continues to gain efficiencies as

it grows into its expanded logistics and fulfilment infrastructure.

AWS, Amazon’s important cloud computing platform, has

stabilised its growth after a year where customers have been

slowing or optimising spend. Amazon’s high-margin advertising

business also reaccelerated revenue growth in the quarter to 26%

year-on-year (y/y) and is now an impressive $47b business.

Salesforce (+10%) reported revenues and earnings largely as

expected and the guidance for the next financial year was also

solid. Like peer tech companies, Salesforce spent 2023 adjusting

its cost base and have expanded operating margins by 8% to

31%. Salesforce are seeing some benefit from AI adoption as

Data Cloud grows extremely fast (90% y/y). For customers to

take advantage of AI models, they must first get their data in

order upon which the AI models will be run, which the Data Cloud

product addresses.

Alphabet (-1%) earnings were largely in-line with expectations.

While Alphabet has made some progress on cost discipline,

it has not been to the same degree as peers and hence the

profit margins have not expanded at the same rate, expanding

circa 1% in 2023. Alphabet’s core Search business and Google

Cloud business both accelerated revenue growth in the quarter.

Weighing on Alphabet’s stock is negative sentiment that the

company has become an AI laggard. Launches of its AI products

so far have not met high expectations, because Alphabet has

traditionally been the thought leader around AI and machine

learning. Thus far AI does not seem to have impacted Alphabet’s

business model, as many are concerned, but we continue to

monitor this closely.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2024

$

1.01

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

3.7

%


as at 29 February 2024

MLN NAV

$

1.05

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 29 February 2024

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.04

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

214m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$216m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

UnitedHealth (UNH; -4%), the leading US healthcare services

business, fell as the Wall Street Journal reported the Department

of Justice has launched a “non-public antitrust” investigation into

UNH. The investigation is focussed on the relationship between

UNH’s insurance business and healthcare provider business

(Optum Health); and its impact on patients, competing insurance

companies, and competing healthcare providers. Details are

still limited, and it is too early to predict what impact, if any this

will have on UNH. UNH say that patients typically see better

outcomes and have higher customer satisfaction scores when it

operates under this integrated model. We continue to follow this

investigation closely.

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 29 February 2024

29

%

9

%

19

%


FINANCIALS

19

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 29 February 2024

4

%

WESTERN

EUROPE

83

%

NORTH

AMERICA

3

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

17

%

10

%


ASIA

3

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

HEALTH CARE

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

4

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Portfolio activity

No new additions or exits during the month.

3
FEBRUARY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

META PLATFORMS

+26

%

ICON

+23

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

+20

%

DOLLAR TREE

+14

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 29 February 2024

AMAZON

9

%

MICROSOFT

7

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

SALESFORCE

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 16 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 29 February 2024

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.1%+13.3%+15.8%(1.2%)+13.1%

Adjusted NAV Return+7.6%+15.0%+29.7%+4.5%+11.6%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +8.0%+15.9%+32.9%+6.3%+14.5%

Benchmark Index^+4.6%+10.5%+17.6%+7.6%+9.8%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

AMAZON

+12

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 29 February 2024

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

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2013

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2014

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2015

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2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

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2019

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2021

Nov

2023

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its

shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

utilised for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other

capital structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed

price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Daniel Moser

(Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.