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MLN – June 2026 monthly update

Operational Update11 June 2026MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for May was -0.7%, while the adjusted NAV return

was -1.0%. This compared with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P

Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was +3.7%.

Market Environment

Global stock markets continued their strong year-to-date performance despite

inflation concerns and on-again, off-again hostilities in the Middle East. The global

equity index was up 5% for the month, led by the US, where the S&P 500 gained 6%,

while Europe and Japan rose 4% and 6% respectively.

Market performance this month, as has been the case for most of the year,

was driven by a handful of stocks, mostly concentrated in the technology and

semiconductor sectors. The SOXX index of semiconductor stocks was up 23% for

the month and is now up 90% year-to-date.

Outside of technology and AI-related industries, performance has been mixed. US

consumer sentiment plummeted on high petrol prices and rising cost of living. The

University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment reached the lowest level since

the survey began in 1952; with the US consumer discretionary index also hitting a

20-year low relative to S&P 500. Consumer exposed sectors like restaurants (-4%);

consumer electronics (-6%); and apparel retail (-1%) were all down for the month.

Portfolio

Performance lagged the broader market, primarily due to the ongoing extraordinary

performance of semi-conductors and a narrow subset of AI exposed stocks.

The S&P 500 has now posted gains for nine consecutive weeks, but the rally has

been exceptionally narrow and driven overwhelmingly by AI-linked stocks. In May,

only four of the 25 MSCI world industry groups outperformed the MSCI global index:

technology, semiconductors, software and automotive. Even automotive performance

was partly AI-driven, with Ford up 40% for the month after announcing a new

subsidiary focused on turning batteries once destined for electric vehicles into energy-

storage systems for artificial-intelligence data centers.

We are wary of how long this narrow, AI-driven rally can last. Periods like this often

widen as supply catches up, expectations adjust and investors refocus on the

sustainability of earnings. Memory stocks illustrate this well.

AI-driven shortages have pushed up memory prices and profits, and our lack of

exposure has been a headwind to performance. However, at current levels, these

stocks appear to be pricing in an unprecedented and potentially unsustainable level

of profitability.

Take Micron. Over its 47-year history, the company has generated around $70bn of

cumulative profit. The market is now expecting roughly $80bn of profit in 2026 alone,

followed by around $120bn per year for each of the next five years. Around two-thirds

of Micron’s profit still comes from commoditised PC and mobile memory, which is

currently benefiting from unusually strong pricing due to tight supply. In a historically

cyclical and commoditised industry, that level of profitability may prove difficult to

sustain as supply increases and demand becomes more price sensitive.

Our AI exposure is focused on businesses with more durable economics, including

enablers such as ASML, TSMC and Nvidia, and platforms such as Amazon, Alphabet,

Meta and Tencent. These companies have lagged the more speculative parts of the

rally, but we believe they offer a better way to participate in AI over the long term than

relying on peak-cycle commodity profits.

The largest contributors and detractors for the portfolio include:

Dexcom +24% in local currency terms, following an investor day that set out a

clearer vision for the global opportunity in continuous glucose monitoring (CGM).

The market remains significantly underpenetrated: of the roughly 23 million people

globally who are eligible for CGMs today, only around 9 million currently use them.

That is expected to rise to 16 million by 2030 but would still represent only a small

share of the roughly 150 million insulin-using diabetics globally. Despite Dexcom’s

strong position in this growing market, the stock has lagged the broader market in

recent years and, even after May’s rebound, remains flat over the past two years.

As the company executes against the strategy outlined on investor day, we expect

performance to improve.

Icon +15% after reporting its delayed Q4 2025 earnings and releasing the findings

of a previously announced independent audit, which drove the stock up 20% on the

day. The audit found that revenue in 2023 and 2024 under the prior management

team had been overstated by around 1% in each year due to aggressive revenue

recognition, while 2025 revenue had been understated by more than 1%. More

importantly, management’s business update pointed to strong new bookings growth,

driven both by improving customer spending and by Icon winning a larger share

of deals. We expect this momentum to continue as the company reports Q1 and

Q2 earnings in the coming months and new management moves beyond historical

accounting issues.

Keyence (+12%) continued its strong performance in May as investors remained

optimistic that a recovery in key end markets (particularly electronics) is underway

and welcomed the company’s recent progress on shareholder returns and corporate

disclosure.

Our two largest detractors for the month are both facing near-term revenue

headwinds.

Zoetis (-32%), the leading global animal health company, reported a disappointing

result as weaker consumer spending reduced vet visits and spending, while

competition in key products and a temporary lull in the pipeline added further

pressure. The company is now facing two new entrants in the billion-dollar

dermatology market it created more than a decade ago, with competitor discounting

and promotions proving deeper and more prolonged than expected. While these

periods of competition have historically been temporary, there are few offsets in the

near term, with several pipeline products not expected to launch until late 2027.

Boston Scientific (-16%) flagged slower growth in Watchman, a key product used

as an alternative to long-term blood thinners for stroke prevention. Management

believes physician and operating room capacity constraints are contributing to the

slowdown. Our discussions with physicians suggest there is still room for further

growth in this procedure. More broadly, Boston has a strong pipeline of new

devices and remains well positioned in interventional medicine, where less invasive

procedures continue to displace traditional surgery across areas such as cardiology

and oncology. This supports our view that the company can grow above market

over the long term. The stock is now trading at its February 2023 share price despite

earnings being 80% higher and still expected to grow at a double-digit rate.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

June 2026

as at 31 May 2026

SHARE PRICE

$

0.85

MLN NAV

$

0.83

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.0 2

PREMIUM

1

3.0

%

The common thread across many of our detractors is an investment cycle: investors
are indiscriminately penalising stocks that are spending today to grow tomorrow.

Intuitive Surgical (-7%), Tencent (-8%), Netflix (-8%), MercadoLibre (-5%),

Capital One (-1%) and Uber (-6%) are all currently going through such cycles.

Tencent is investing in AI capabilities across its dominant Weixin social media and

gaming ecosystem, with early success already lifting revenues in areas such as

advertising. MercadoLibre is expanding its logistics and credit card offering to

strengthen its customer value proposition, with clear evidence these initiatives

are paying off. Intuitive Surgical is lowering the lifetime cost of its robotic surgical

instruments, improving customer ROI and making it harder for competitors to gain

traction.

We believe these investments will strengthen these companies’ competitive positions

and support medium-term earnings growth. However, the market is currently

rewarding near-term earnings over future high-quality revenue streams, regardless of

business quality or profitability. This has created opportunities in some of the highest-

quality businesses globally, and we expect share price performance to improve as the

benefits of these investments become more apparent. For example, Tencent’s stock

rose 10% in the first two days of June after it announced the launch of AI Agents

within its Weixin app.

Our focus remains on underwriting high-quality businesses where we see a clear

disconnect between share prices and long-term fundamentals. This includes

companies facing near-term revenue headwinds, such as Boston Scientific, as

well as others like Tencent and Mercado Libre that are investing today to support

future growth. In our view, recent underperformance has created attractive valuation

opportunities across several holdings with durable competitive positions and

underappreciated long-term growth potential.

2

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 May 2026

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.87

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

229m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$195m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 May 2026

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 31 May 2026

Information Technology26%

Consumer Discretionary19%

Health Care18%

Communication Services13%

Financials13%

Industrial7%

Cash & Derivatives4%

North America75%

Asia Pacific11%

Western Europe9%

South & Central America4%

Central Asia1%

3
MAY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO during the month in local currency

DEXCOM

+24

%

ICON

+15

%

GREGGS

+13

%

ZOETIS

-16

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 May 2026

MICROSOFT

8

%

AMAZON

7

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

NVIDIA

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 26 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 May 2026

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.7%+0.6%+0.1%+6.5%(3.7%)

Adjusted NAV Return(1.0%)(2.8%)(5.1%)+4.8%(0.0%)

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (0.7%)(2.4%)(3.0%)+7.5%+2.0%

Benchmark Index^+3.7%+6.5%+31.0%+20.6%+11.7%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

BOSTON SCIENTIFIC

-32

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 May 2026

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

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2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2021

Nov

2023

Nov

2024

Nov

2025

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants on

16 February 2026

»The warrant term offer document was sent to all Marlin

shareholders in late February 2026

»Warrants were allotted to all eligible Marlin shareholders

on 23 April 2026

»The new warrants (MLNWH) commenced trading on the

NZX Main Board from 24 April 2026

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.87, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment of

the warrants and ending on the last Business Day before

the final Exercise Price is announced by Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the Marlin warrants is 23 April 2027


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Charles

Barty (Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors

Andy Coupe (Chair), David

McClatchy, Fiona Oliver, Dan

Coman and Simon Flood.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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