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Global Dairy Update March 2022

Operational Update30 March 2022FSFConsumer Staples

• NZMP’s Organic Butter - Carbonzero™ Certified wins second
innovation award.

• On 17 March, Fonterra announced its 2022 Interim Results.

For further details,

view our website –

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Monthly production declines continue across

all regions.

• New Zealand monthly exports flat, Australia

exports increase. US and EU monthly

exports decline.

• China, Middle East and Africa, Latin America

and Asia monthly imports increase.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collection for

February was 126.9 million kgMS, down 7.0%

on February the prior season.

• Fonterra Australia milk collection for February

was 7.6 million kgMS, up 4.9% on February

last season.

• Fonterra set to be home to New Zealand’s first electric

milk tanker.

Key Dates

May 2022

FY22 Q3 Business Update

1 June 2022

Start of the 2022/23 Season

31 July 2022

End of FY22 Financial Year

MARCH 2022

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for the 12 months to

February 2022

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

Change for the 12 months

to January 2022

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

1.06.38.2

1.70.21.0

1.5

1.7

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Monthly production

declines continue across

all regions

New Zealand milk

production¹ decreased

8.2% on a litres basis, (down

7.2% on milk solids basis)

in February compared to

February the year prior.

Drought conditions early in

the month were replaced

by mixed weather with

above average rainfall.

This contributed towards

improved soil moisture and

milk production towards the

end of February.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to February

was down 1.7% on the

year prior.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported

for February, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production decreased

6.3% in January compared to

January the year prior.

Production was impacted by

summer rainfall deficits, and

COVID-related labour and

supply chain challenges.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to January was

1.7% lower than the year prior.

Dairy Australia and Rabobank

have lowered their current

season forecasts, Rabobank

to -1.8% and Dairy Australia to

“unlikely to see growth”.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported

for February, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production²

decreased 1.5% in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Lower production volumes

year-on-year were driven

by Germany, Netherlands

and France but partially

offset by an increase in Italy

and Poland.

EU milk production for the

12 months to December

was down 0.2% compared

to the same period the year

prior, driven by declines

in Germany, Netherlands

and France and offset by

increases in Italy and Ireland.

US milk production

decreased by 1.0% in

February, compared to the

same period the year prior.

Smaller herd size remained a

key driver of the decline year-

on-year. However, compared

to prior month, herd sizes

grew for the first time in

eight months. Milk yield per

cow yield remained low as a

result of high feed costs.

Milk production for the

12 months to February was

1.0% higher compared to the

same period the year prior.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand monthly

exports flat, Australia

exports increase.

US and EU monthly

exports decline

Total New Zealand

dairy exports were flat in

February compared to the

same period the year prior.

Stronger shipments of SMP

to South East Asia and Libya,

and butter and fluid milk

products to China, were

observed year-on-year, but

offset by lower shipments of

WMP to China.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up by 2.1%,

or 72,964 MT, compared to

the same period the year

prior. This was primarily

driven by increases in fluid

milk product, WMP, and

cheese but partially offset

by declines in AMF and

infant formula.

EU dairy exports

decreased 6.0%, or

35,473 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Lower exports of cheese,

SMP and cultured products,

down a combined 27,747  MT,

were partially offset by

stronger demand for fluid

milk products and MPC.

Exports for the 12 months to

December were down 1.3%,

or 92,805 MT, compared to

the same period the year

prior, driven by declines in

infant formula, cultured

products, WMP, SMP and

partially offset by increases

in fluid milk products

and whey.

US dairy exports

decreased 2.9%, or 5,611  MT,

in January compared to

the same period the year

prior. This is the second

consecutive month of lower

exports following 10 months

of year-on-year gains.

Lower shipments of whey to

China and SMP to Mexico

were partially offset by

an increase in demand

for cheese to Mexico and

Australia, and lactose to

China and the Philippines.

Exports for the 12 months to

January 2022 were up 10.3%,

or 258,327 MT, compared

to the same period the year

prior, driven by SMP, cheese,

whey, lactose, and fluid milk

products, up a combined

238,541  MT.

Australia dairy

exports increased 73.3%,

or 40,148 MT, in January

compared to the same

period the year prior.

January exports were higher

than normal and driven by

high demand from China

for fluid milk products, and

limited supply available from

New Zealand, up 23,961 MT

year-on-year. Increases in

SMP and cheese exports

were also observed.

Exports for the 12 months to

January were up 22.2%, or

167,870 MT, compared to the

same period the year prior.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, and also SMP

and WMP.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%

%

%

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

Change for the 12 months

to January 2022

Change for the 12 months

to January 2022

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

2.973.30.0

22.2

6.0

10.31.32.1

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China, Middle East and

Africa, Latin America

and Asia monthly

imports increase

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

5.5%, or 9,848 MT, in

December compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher demand for cheese

and whey to Mexico and SMP

to Colombia, Honduras and

Dominican Republic.

Imports for the 12 months

to December were up

3.5% compared to the

same period the year prior,

driven by higher volumes

of cheese, whey, SMP and

infant formula.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 6.6%, or

25,808 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was driven

by higher demand for

whey to Indonesia, SMP

to Philippines and WPC

to Japan.

Imports for the 12 months to

December were up 0.4%, or

21,255 MT, compared to the

same period the year prior,

driven by higher volumes of

whey, cheese and fluid milk

products and partially offset

by a decrease in WMP.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 10.6%, or

42,460 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was

predominantly driven by

higher volumes of fluid milk

products to Libya and Iraq,

cheese to Iraq and SMP to

Libya and Egypt. This was

partially offset by lower

demand for infant formula

from Nigeria.

Imports for the 12 months

to December were up 5.6%,

or 270,960 MT, compared

to December the year prior,

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, cheese and

cultured products.

China dairy import

volumes increased by 3.2%,

or 8,321 MT, in February

compared to February the

year prior.

Strong demand of WMP was

observed in February and

sourced from New Zealand,

South America and Europe.

AMF and butter imports

also increased year-on-year,

primarily from New Zealand.

This was largely offset by a

continuing weaker demand

for whey.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were up 12.3%, or

448,937 MT, driven by WMP,

fluid milk products and SMP,

partially offset by decreases

in infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for February 2022

compared to February2021

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

3.2

6.65.5

0.45.6

%

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

12.3

10.6

3.5

%

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 28 February

Season-to-date

1 June to 28 February

Season-to-date

1 June to 28 February

Season-to-date

1 June to 28 February

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

4.94.88.97.0

1.13.14.64.0

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collections for February

were 7.6 million kgMS, a 4.9%

increase on February last

season as both third party

volumes and farm collections

increased year-on-year.

The increased farm intake

was predominantly due to

new suppliers that have

joined Fonterra this season.

Fonterra collections across

Australia for the eight

months for the season to

date were 75.2 million kgMS,

a 1.1% decline on last season.

North Island milk

collections in February were

67.3 million kgMS, 8.9% lower

than February last season.

Season-to-date collections

were 697.3 million kgMS,

4.6% behind last season.

North Island milk collections

have been stronger in

general throughout the

back half of this month,

approaching last year’s

favourable milk volumes on a

day-to-day basis.

South Island milk

collections in February were

59.6 million kgMS, 4.8%

lower than last February.

Season-to-date collection

were 462.3 million kgMS,

3.1% behind last season.

The South Island had

steep declines in milk

collections throughout

February. Hot, dry weather

in the early period preceded

unseasonable colder, wetter

conditions, causing larger

decreases compared to

last February.

Fonterra's New

Zealand collections for

February were 126.9 million

kgMS, 7.0% lower than

last February.

Season-to-date collections

were 1,159.6 million kgMS,

4.0% behind last season.

Hot, dry weather continued

into the first week of

February across most of

the country before being

interrupted with drought-

breaking rain through

the middle of February.

Disruptive weather, including

a cyclone and flooding,

impacted feed availability in

many regions. Milk volumes

recovered following more

normal weather conditions

through the second half of

the month.

%%%

%

The inclusion of off-GDT sales contributed approximately

eight cents per kgMS to the Milk Price for the season

to 31 January 2022.

%

%
%

%%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

MAR OCT MAR MAY AUG OCT JAN MAR MAY AUG JAN





,

, 

,

,

,

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

While geopolitical tensions

lead to an increase in

volatility across financial

markets during March, the

NZD strengthened mainly

due to increasing interest

rates and higher commodity

prices – the currency rising

to 69 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

15 March 2022:

The next trading event will be held on 5 April 2022. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

1.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

5,101

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

21.9

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,596/MT

3.4

WMP

USD 7,111/MT

0.9

AMF

USD 6,412/MT

0.3

CHEDDAR

USD 4,574/MT

0.6

SMP

USD 6,958/MT

1.8

BUTTER

21,886

MT

LATEST AUCTION

425,353

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
NZMP’s Organic

Butter - Carbonzero™

Certified wins second

innovation award

Hot on the heels of

winning the ‘Sustainability

Innovation Award’ at Food

Ingredients Europe 2021,

NZMP’s Organic Butter -

Carbonzero™ Certified has

won the ‘Most Innovative

Dairy Product Award’ at

the Gulfood Innovation

Awards 2022.

Gulfood is the world’s largest

food and beverage sourcing

event. It takes place annually

and attracts exhibitors

and visitors from around

the globe.

This is the first time Fonterra

has won an award at the

Gulfood Innovation Awards,

and our entry was judged

by an industry-leading jury

panel against hundreds

of others from around

the world.

Our submission focused

on the work Fonterra is

doing across the value

chain when it comes to

reducing emissions. This

includes touching on

our new sustainability

commitment around net

zero, the work we’re doing

with farmers through the

Co-operative Difference, the

game changing innovation

underway to reduce

methane emissions on-farm

and the work we’ve done to

move out of coal.

With 72 per cent of global

consumers expressing an

interest in brands that

actively communicate

achievements around

sustainability, the

introduction of carbonzero

ingredients is another way

in which NZMP™ customers

can leverage Fonterra’s

sustainability solutions.

Kelvin Wickham, Chief

Executive AMENA, says

achieving carbonzero

certification for products like

Organic Butter is a great way

for us to help our customers

and the environment in

the short-term, while we

work towards our net

zero aspirations.

Our Performance

Our Co-op
8

Fonterra set to be home

to New Zealand’s first

electric milk tanker

More than 100 years ago,

Fonterra’s Waitoa site had

New Zealand’s largest fleet

of electric milk trucks.

Fast-forward to 2022, the

site is set to welcome

New Zealand’s first modern

electric milk tanker.

The E-tanker, which is due to

hit the road in early May, will

help Fonterra understand

what the future of electric

milk collection and rural

heavy transport looks like.

With road transport being

one the fastest growing

source of emissions,

the Co-op sees this as

an opportunity to help

the country identify and

deliver lower carbon

transport solutions.

Fonterra Chief Operating

Officer, Fraser Whineray,

says improving emissions

across the entire supply

chain is part of Fonterra’s

overall commitment

to sustainability.

“The global technology

investment in sustainable

land, air and sea transport

is phenomenal. Our teams

are constantly screening

the possibilities to see

what could work across our

supply chain”.

The E-tanker is part of

Fonterra’s Electric Vehicle

strategy that will see a third

of the Co-op’s light vehicle

fleet converted to EVs by

the end of 2023, while also

focusing on transitioning

medium and heavy vehicles.

Here’s a few facts about

the new E-tanker...

1. How big is it?

It’s about the same size as

a regular tanker. For those

who want more technical

details – it will operate at

46T GVM (gross vehicle

mass) with the trailer.

2. How far can it go?

It has a range of about

140km on a full charge (but

this is still to be tested).

3. What brand is it?

The cab and chassis are

from XCMG – a Chinese

construction machinery

group. The team will fit the

‘tank’ part of the tanker

to it, which will be the

same as with Fonterra’s

regular tankers.

4. Is this the first of

its kind?

With regards to a fully

electric milk tanker in

New Zealand, yes. As for

in the world, we can’t be

sure yet, we’re still checking

that out.

5. How much milk will

it carry?

The tank will be the same

size as on our regular

tanker with the capacity

to carry 28,000 litres.

However, because the

‘truck’ part of the tanker

is a bit heavier with the

battery it will carry around

2,300 litres less milk. This

is so we can operate within

our permitted weight.

6. How long does it take

to charge?

It will take about three

hours to charge, and we

will be operating it on a

battery swap system so we

won’t have to have it lying

idle while charging. The

team will be able to swap

the battery out in about

six minutes.

7. What will you be

looking at during

the trial?

We’ll be looking at a

number of factors including;

how far it can go, how

easy it is to charge, milk

collection, maintenance,

efficiency, cost, and driver

comfort and safety. This

is very much a trial and

we’re looking forward to

learning more about heavy

vehicle E-Transport in a

rural setting.

8. Where will it be based?

The new tanker will be

based at our Waitoa plant

in the Waikato region. This

is because Waitoa has lots

of close supplying farms

on relatively flat land, so

we can do shorter runs

where we can reduce

battery consumption with

less hills. Since Waitoa was

home to the biggest fleet of

electric milk trucks, it is also

fitting that in New Zealand

it becomes home to

the first modern milk

collection electric tanker in

New Zealand.

9. How long will it take

to build?

A normal tanker takes

about 27 days to build, but

this will take a bit longer.

This is due to some of

the new tech we need to

manage. We plan to have it

on the road in early May.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU to December; Australia to January; New Zealand and US to February.

NOTE: Data for EU to November; US and Australia to January; New Zealand to February.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to December; China to February.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR JAN OCT

FEB JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV

DEC

JUN

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

FEBRUARY

2022

FEBRUARY


2021

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

126.9136.5(7.0%)1,159.61,207.7(4.0%)

North Island67.373.9(8.9%)697.3730.7(4.6%)

South Island59.662.6(4.8%)462.3476.9(3.1%)

Australia7.67.34.9%75.276.0(1.1%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(15 MARCH 2022)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2021)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

21,886425,353

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(16.0%)(13.3%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

5,1014,343

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

23.5%29.2%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(1.0%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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