Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update May 2022

Operational Update31 May 2022FCGConsumer Staples

• Third quarter business update.
• Grass-fed gaining traction in Vietnam.

For further details,

view our website –

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand, Australia and US monthly

production continues to decline. EU monthly

production increases.

• EU and New Zealand monthly exports decline,

Australia and US exports continue to grow.

• Sharp decline in China monthly imports.

Latin America monthly imports down.

Middle East & Africa and Asia imports up.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collections for

April were 112.1 million kgMS, down 5.1% on

April last season. At the end of April, season-

to-date collections were 3.8% down on last

season.

• Fonterra Australia collections for April were

7.9 million kgMS, a 2.0% decrease on April last

season and down 1.2% for the season-to-date

compared to the prior season.

• Fonterra expands seaweed trial.

Key Dates

1 June 2022

Start of the 2022/23 Season

31 July 2022

End of FY22 Financial Year

September 2022

FY22 Annual Results

Announcement

M AY 2 02 2

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for March 2022

compared to March 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2022

Change for the 12 months

to April 2022

Change for the 12 months

to March 2022

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

1.05.15.6

2.30.20.4

0.7

3.7

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand, Australia

and US monthly

production continues

to decline, EU monthly

production increases

New Zealand milk

production¹ decreased 5.6%

on a litres basis, (down 5.2%

on milk solids basis) in April

compared to the same period

the year prior.

Warm, dry and generally

unfavourable conditions

continued into April, impacting

pastures and milk production.

Some beneficial rain was

observed in parts of the

South Island.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to April was

down 3.7% on the year prior.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for

April, see page 5 for details.

Australia milk production

decreased 5.1% in March

compared to the same period

the year prior.

Production continued to

decline year-on-year, as a result

of below average rainfall, labour

constraints, and increasing

input prices.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to March was

2.3% lower than the year prior.

Both Dairy Australia and

Rabobank have revised

their FY22 forecasts down,

Rabobank to -3.5% and Dairy

Australia to -1% to -3%.

Fonterra collections in Australia

are reported for April, see

page 5 for details.

EU milk production² was up

0.7% in February compared to

the same period the year prior.

Increases in Poland, Italy,

Ireland and Austria production

were offset by ongoing

weaker production observed

in Netherlands, France

and Germany.

EU milk production for the 12

months to February was up

0.2% compared to the same

period the year prior, driven

by increases in Italy, Ireland,

Poland and Hungary and offset

by decreases in Germany,

Netherlands and France.

US milk production

decreased by 1.0% in April,

compared to the same period

the year prior.

Smaller herd sizes compared

to this time last year are

contributing to the decrease

in production. Rising feed and

fuel prices are a constraint to

the rebuilding of milk herds.

Milk production for the 12

months to April was 0.4%

higher compared to the same

period the year prior.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

EU and New Zealand

monthly exports decline,

Australia and US exports

continue to grow

Total New Zealand

dairy exports were down

0.9%, or 2,501 MT, in April

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Lower shipments of WMP

to China and Sri Lanka given

the lock-down and economic

disruptions. Offsetting

the decline, was stronger

demand for SMP from South

East Asia, for butter from

China and South East Asia

and for AMF from Mexico

and Denmark.

Exports for the 12 months to

April were down by 0.8%, or

27,407 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by decreases

in WMP and AMF and infant

formula but partially offset

by increases in fluid milk

products, casein, and SMP.

EU dairy exports

decreased 7.8%, or

44,067 MT, in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Lower exports volumes

were driven by decreases

in fluid milk products, SMP

and whey, partially offset by

increases in cheese, cultured

products, butter and lactose.

Exports for the 12 months

to February were down

1.9%, or 139,780 MT, on the

previous comparable period,

driven by declines in infant

formula, cultured products,

WMP, SMP and butter and

partially offset by increases

in fluid milk products, cheese

and MPC.

US dairy exports remain

high and increased 0.5%, or

1,260 MT, in March compared

to the same period the

year prior.

Strong demand continued

for cheese to Mexico and

South Korea as well as butter

to Canada. Exports of WPC

to China also grew. This

was partially offset by lower

shipments of SMP, lactose

and smaller volumes of whey

to China.

Exports for the 12 months to

March 2022 were up 7.3%, or

188,717 MT, on the previous

comparable period, driven by

cheese, lactose, whey, SMP

and fluid milk products.

Australia dairy

exports increased 26.5%,

or 19,287 MT, in March

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Strong export volumes in

March continue to be driven

by high demand for fluid

milk products from China,

up 14,016 MT. Increases in

WMP and other powders and

cheese exports were also

observed.

Exports for the 12 months

to March were up 21.2%, or

164,989 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, as well as SMP

and WMP.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%

%

%

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for March 2022

compared to March 2021

Change for March 2022

compared to March 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for the 12 months

to April 2022

Change for the 12 months

to March 2022

Change for the 12 months

to March 2022

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

0.526.50.9

21.2

7.8

7.31.90.8

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Sharp decline in China

monthly imports.

Latin America monthly

imports down. Middle

East and Africa and Asia

imports up

Latin America dairy

import volumes

¹ decreased

2.3%, or 3,692 MT, in

February compared to the

same period the year prior.

The decrease was driven

by lower demand for

WMP to Brazil and Cuba,

and fluid milk products to

the Dominican Republic

and Chile.

Imports for the 12 months

to February were up 3.4%

compared to the same

period the year prior, driven

by higher volumes of cheese,

SMP, whey and butter and

partially offset by declines

in WMP.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes

¹

increased 9.4%, or

34,709 MT, in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher demand for SMP to

the Philippines and Thailand,

WMP to Vietnam and lactose

to Japan.

Imports for the 12 months

to February were up 3.7%, or

177,623 MT, compared to the

same period the year prior,

driven by higher volumes

of whey, cheese, SMP and

WPC and partially offset by a

decrease in WMP.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes

¹

increased 15. 6%, or

58,719 MT, in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was driven

by higher volumes across

most product categories,

and specifically of SMP to

Egypt and Algeria, cheese to

Libya and Egypt, and WMP

to Oman.

Imports for the 12 months

to February were up 7.7%,

or 368,791 MT, compared

to February the year prior,

driven by increases in

cheese, fluid milk products

and SMP.

China dairy import

volumes

decreased by

21.2%, or 73,377 MT, in April

compared to the same

period the year prior, which

were historically high.

Lower volumes were

observed across most

products in April as lock-

down disruptions continue,

and more specifically fluid

milk products, whey, SMP

and WMP imports. Volumes

of butter and WPC increased

year-on-year.

Imports for the 12 months

to April were up 1.4%, or

54,096 MT, driven by WMP,

SMP and fluid milk products,

partially offset by decreases

in whey and infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for February 2022

compared to February 2021

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

Change for the 12 months

to February 2022

21.2

9.42.3

3.77.7

%

Change for the 12 months

to April 2022

1.4

15.6

3.4

%

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 30 April

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 April

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 April

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 April

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

Change for April 2022

compared to April 2021

2.05.05.25.1

1.23.24.23.8

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections

for April were

7.9 million kgMS, a 2.0%

decrease on April last season.

Volumes from third party

collections decreased

0.5m kgMS year-on-year and

were largely offset by increased

farm collections of 0.4m kgMS

from new suppliers who have

joined this season.

Fonterra collections across

Australia for the nine months

for the season-to-date were

91. 1 million kgMS, a 1.2%

decline on last season.

North Island milk

collections in April were

60.9 million kgMS, 5.2% behind

April last season.

Season-to-date collections

were 833.0 million kgMS, 4.2%

behind last season.

Warm, dry conditions

continued to affect key milking

regions, with some farmers

opting to conserve feed

through once-a-day milking

and drying off parts of herds

earlier than normal.

South Island milk

collections in April were

51.2 million kgMS, 5.0% lower

than last April.

Season-to-date collections

were 575.5 million kgMS, 3.2%

behind last season.

The warm and dry conditions

that have adversely impacted

milk production particularly in

the lower South Island, were

alleviated to a degree by rain

that arrived in the middle of

the month.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for April were

112.1 million kgMS, 5.1% lower

than last April.

Season-to-date collections

were 1,408.5 million kgMS,

3.8% behind last season.

April saw warm, dry conditions

with only isolated showers

in parts, providing improved

pasture growing conditions.

Milk volumes are generally

declining as expected at this

stage of the season as farmers

prepare for next season,

ensuring pasture covers and

cows are in good condition.

%%%

Forecast Farmgate Milk Price for

the 2022/23 season

Forecast milk collection for the

2022/23 season

NZD

per

kgMS

%

8.25-

9.75

1, 5 10

M

kgMS

Outlook for Fonterra

in New Zealand

%

The inclusion of off-GDT sales

contributed approximately

11 cents per kgMS to the

Milk Price for the season

to 30 April 2022.

%
%

%%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

MAY DEC MAY

JUL

OCT

DEC

MAR MAY JUL OCT MAR




,

, 

,

,

,
.

.

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

A combination of elevated

geopolitical risk (chiefly the war

in Ukraine), a rapid tightening

of US monetary conditions

and a degradation in the global

economic outlook resulted in

strong demand for US dollars;

the NZD/USD exchange rate

declined sharply to below

63 US cents before recovering.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

17 May 2022:

The next trading event will be held on 7 June 2022. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

0.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,442

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

23.8

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 5,750/MT

1.0

BUTTER

USD 5,635/MT

1.0

CHEDDAR

USD 3,934/MT

0.5

WMP

USD 6,043/MT

0.6

AMF

USD 4,141/MT

0.9

SMP

23,760

MT

LATEST AUCTION

513,727

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Grass-fed gaining

traction in Vietnam

As Fonterra focuses on

growing our business in

South East Asia, customers

are starting to see the value

in its grass-fed claims.

In Vietnam, one customer,

Nutifood, has just released

100% New Zealand

Grass-Fed milk, the first of its

kind in the country.

Nutifood makes products

including formulas, ready-

to-drink milks and yoghurts

that help with nutritional

needs and the physical

development of the

Vietnamese population.

Mr. Vo Hoang Anh, Vice

President Marketing at

Nutifood, says consumers in

Vietnam are becoming more

interested in foods that are

natural and of a high quality

– and what is more natural

than grass-fed milk from

New Zealand?

“Vietnamese consumers

are aware of the benefits

of grass-fed milk, meaning

Fonterra’s sustainability

claims and provenance story

has provided a key point

of difference.”

In Vietnam, dairy products

make up 10% of the

average total food cost,

so while already a popular

part of the everyday diet,

the majority of dairy is

imported. By leveraging

Fonterra’s provenance

story claims, Nutifood can

differentiate themselves in

the competitive market.

“The New Zealand origin has

become a trustworthy signal

in the eye of consumers – it

indicates a healthy, nutritious

and premium dairy product.”

says Mr. Vo Hoang Anh.

Sustainability claims are

expected to drive sales in the

coming years and by getting

ahead of this, Nutifood can

become a main player in

this story.

“Customers see the value

in milk being grass-fed and

the New Zealand name” says

Mr. Vo Hoang Anh.

New Zealand is the perfect

place to grow grass – the

combination of climate and

nutrient rich soils make

the ideal conditions for

pasture-fed dairy farming.

Cows are 96% grass-fed

and spend over 350 days a

year on grass, which is more

than anywhere else in the

world. This is important for

producing high quality and

nutritious milk.

You can see from this

branding alone how

important our provenance

story is to the consumer.

It just goes to show

the unique value of the

New Zealand name.

Our Performance

Fonterra expands
seaweed trial Fonterra

farmers have

first access

Last month the Co-op

announced it is expanding

on-farm trials of methane

reducing Asparagopsis

seaweed, as part of its

commitment to helping solve

the methane challenge.

In partnership with

Australian company Sea

Forest, Fonterra is looking at

the potential Asparagopsis

seaweed has in reducing

methane in a grass-fed

farming system.

Fonterra General Manager

of Sustainability APAC,

Jack Holden, says our

grass-fed farming model

makes Fonterra one of

the most carbon efficient

producers of dairy in

the world. “However, we

have an aspiration to be

net zero by 2050 and we

are investing in R&D and

partnerships to help find

a solution to reducing

methane emissions.”

CSIRO research has

shown that Asparagopsis

seaweed has the potential

to reduce emissions by over

80 per cent in laboratory

trials, and while Fonterra

understands the reductions

will vary out of the lab, all

reductions count.

“As with all methane

solutions we’re trialling,

what we need to find out

is whether we can use this

supplement in a way that

is safe for cows, safe for

consumers and to ensure

that there is no impact on

milk taste or quality,” says

Jack Holden.

“Over the past two years,

900 dairy cows on a farm in

Australia have been fed small

amounts of the seaweed

supplement and the results

have been promising at each

stage. We are now expanding

the trial across three

additional farms, to test the

supplement’s application at a

commercial-scale.

“This will include

understanding the

practicalities of using the

seaweed supplement as

part of normal farming

operations, which is critical

because it needs to be easy

to implement and beneficial

for farmers if we want it to

be widely adopted.”

“If the trial proves successful,

we have agreed with Sea

Forest that Fonterra farmers

will have first access to the

commercial Asparagopsis

solution,” says Jack Holden.

Sea Forest CEO and Founder

Sam Elsom says last year

the company bought an

additional 30ha farm as

it dramatically increases

its production of the

seaweed supplement.

“Asparagopsis is a common

seaweed native to the

waters of Tasmania and

New Zealand, and we’re the

first in the world to cultivate

it at a commercial scale

through both marine and

land-based aquaculture.

“We needed a food industry

partner to help us take this

to a commercial scale, and

we partnered with Fonterra

because of its commitment

to sustainability

and innovation.

“We’re looking forward to

working with Fonterra on

the next phase, and although

we’re still in trial phases, we

believe this has potential,”

says Sam.

Fonterra believes there

will be no single solution

to the methane challenge,

with Asparagopsis one of

a number of solutions it is

looking at.

Other work the Co-op is

carrying out includes:

• Tapping into its large

collection of dairy

cultures to create new

fermentations we’re calling

Kowbucha™, which could

inhibit the methanogens

that create methane

in cows.

• Working with Royal DSM,

a global science-based

company, to test whether

DSM’s feed additive

product Bovaer®, which

reduces methane emissions

from cows by over 30%

in non-pasture-based

farming systems, can do

the same in New Zealand’s

pasture-based

farming systems.

• With MPI and DairyNZ,

expanding a promising

trial with Nestlé to

include plantain in a

cow’s diet to reduce

the amount of nitrogen

produced, reducing carbon

emissions and improving

freshwater quality.

Our Co-op

8

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s



















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN 

MAY 

FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s

















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU to February; Australia to March; New Zealand and US to April.

NOTE: Data for EU to February; US and Australia to March; New Zealand to April.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to February; China to April.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR MAR JAN OCT FEB JUL AUG MAY SEP NOV DEC JUN 

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

APRIL

2022

APRIL


2021

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

112.1118.2(5.1%)1,408.51,464.0(3.8%)

North Island60.964.3(5.2%)833.0869.8(4.2%)

South Island51.253.9(5.0%)575.5594.3(3.2%)

Australia7.98.1(2.0%)91.192.1(1.2%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(17 MAY 2022)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2021)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

23,760513,727

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

17.6%(11. 4%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,4424,403

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

5.4%26.2%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

0.0%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update May 2022
    2022-05-31

    • Third quarter business update. • Grass-fed gaining traction in Vietnam. For further details, view our website – 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly production continues to decline. EU monthly production increases. • EU and New Zealand month…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update June 2022
    2022-06-29

    • Fonterra provides milk price, performance, and strategy update. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand production ends season down on previous season. Monthly declines observed across all regions. • New Zealand, EU and US monthly exports decline, Australia exports contin…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2022
    2022-04-29

    • Fonterra's Research and Development Centre celebrates 95 years. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly production continue to decline. EU monthly production flat. • New Zealand monthly exports flat, Australia and US exports up. EU monthly expor…”